Turkey Hatchery
ISSN: 1949-1964
Released August 13, 2021, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service
(NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of
Agriculture (USDA).
Eggs in Incubators on August 1 Down 1 Percent from Last Year
Turkey eggs in incubators on August 1, 2021 in the United States totaled
26.8 million, down 1 percent from August 1, 2020. Eggs in incubators were up
2 percent from the July 1, 2021 total of 26.4 million eggs.
Poults Hatched During July Down 5 Percent from Last Year
Turkey poults hatched during July 2021 in the United States totaled
22.6 million, down 5 percent from July 2020. Poults hatched were up 4 percent
from the June 2021 total of 21.7 million poults.
Net Poults Placed During July Down 3 Percent from Last Year
The 22.3 million net poults placed during July 2021 in the United States were
down 3 percent from the number placed during the same month a year earlier.
Net poult placements were up 7 percent from the June 2021 total of
20.9 million.
Eggs in Incubators and Poults Hatched by Month - United States: 2019-2021
[Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
:Eggs in incubators first of month: Percent of :Poults hatched entire month: Percent of
Month :---------------------------------: :---------------------------:
: 2019-2020 : 2020-2021 :previous year: 2019-2020 : 2020-2021 :previous year
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: ------ 1,000 eggs ----- percent --- 1,000 poults --- percent
:
September ........: 26,666 25,989 97 22,464 21,840 97
October ..........: 29,327 27,293 93 24,905 23,290 94
November .........: 26,958 26,764 99 22,325 22,230 100
December .........: 26,464 26,982 102 22,655 23,090 102
January ..........: 28,820 24,635 85 23,879 21,502 90
February .........: 28,209 26,153 93 22,566 20,705 92
March ............: 27,980 26,150 93 23,729 23,269 98
April ............: 27,922 27,547 99 23,461 22,599 96
May ..............: 27,274 25,403 93 21,562 20,903 97
June .............: 28,540 25,958 91 23,940 21,714 91
July .............: 27,718 26,396 95 23,759 22,583 95
August ...........: 27,158 26,831 99 22,509
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Net Poult Placements by Month - United States: 2019-2021
[Includes imports and excludes exports. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Total all breeds : Percent of : Cumulative total : Percent of
Month :---------------------------------: :---------------------------:
: 2019-2020 : 2020-2021 :previous year: 2019-2020 : 2020-2021 :previous year
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: ----- 1,000 poults ---- percent ---- 1,000 poults --- percent
:
September ........: 20,125 19,141 95 20,125 19,141 95
October ..........: 21,857 20,114 92 41,982 39,255 94
November .........: 20,199 20,070 99 62,181 59,325 95
December .........: 20,216 20,569 102 82,397 79,894 97
January ..........: 21,414 19,751 92 103,811 99,645 96
February .........: 20,663 18,995 92 124,474 118,640 95
March ............: 21,741 21,982 101 146,215 140,622 96
April ............: 22,053 21,620 98 168,268 162,242 96
May ..............: 19,559 19,584 100 187,827 181,826 97
June .............: 22,764 20,926 92 210,591 202,752 96
July .............: 23,013 22,312 97 233,604 225,064 96
August ...........: 20,945 254,549
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Statistical Methodology
Survey Procedures: Data for turkey hatchery estimates are collected from all
known turkey hatcheries. Individual NASS regional field offices maintain a
list of all known turkey hatcheries and use known sources of hatcheries to
update their lists. Approximately 45 hatcheries in 20 states are contacted
each month. All known turkey hatcheries hatching 15,000 or more poults
annually are mailed a questionnaire as close to the first of the month as
possible. Adequate time is given to respond via mail, fax, or electronic data
reporting. Those that do not respond are contacted by phone. Care is
exercised to ensure that all hatcheries are accounted for in the estimate.
Estimating Procedures: Sound statistical methodology is employed to derive
the estimates from reported data. All data are analyzed for unusual values.
Data from each operation are compared to their own past operating profile and
to trends from similar operations. Data for missing operations were estimated
based on similar operations or historical data. NASS regional field offices
prepare these estimates by using a combination of survey indications and
historic trends. Individual State estimates are reviewed by the Agricultural
Statistics Board for reasonableness. Individual hatchery data are summed to
State, regional, and United States totals. Only United States level estimates
are published due to the limited number of hatcheries involved. The Net Poult
Placement data include imported poults and exclude exported poults.
Cumulative net poult placements beginning on September 1 and ending on August
31 are shown in the monthly Turkey Hatchery report. This time period
corresponds with the placements of poults which will reach maturity and be
available for slaughter during the calendar year.
Revision Policy: Revisions are generally the result of late or corrected
data. Revisions to the previous month are published in the monthly Turkey
Hatchery report, while annual revisions are published in the Hatchery
Production - Annual Summary report in April.
Reliability: Turkey hatchery estimates are based on a census of all known
operating hatcheries and therefore, have no sampling error. However,
estimates are subject to errors such as omission, duplication, and mistakes
in reporting, recording, and processing the data. While these errors cannot
be measured directly, they are minimized through strict quality controls in
the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data
for consistency and reasonableness.
To assist in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the
"Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table.
The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past
performance and is computed using the differences between first and final
estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for turkey eggs in incubators on the
first day of the month over the past 24 months is 2.9 percent. This means
that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or
below the current estimate of 26.8 million eggs by more than 2.9 percent.
Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 5.0 percent.
Reliability of August Turkey Hatchery Estimates
[Based on data for the past 24 months]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Root mean : 90 percent : Difference between first and latest estimate
:square error : confidence : : : : :
: : level :------------------------------------------------------
Item : : : : : : Months
: : : : : :---------------------------
: : :Average :Smallest:Largest :Below latest :Above latest
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: percent percent -------- 1,000 ------- ---- number ----
:
Eggs in incubators ................: 2.9 5.0 559 1 2,201 15 9
:
Poults hatched ....................: 1.8 3.1 257 0 1,319 13 10
:
Net poult placements ..............: 2.1 3.6 301 0 1,329 17 6
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Information Contacts
Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National
Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may
be sent to nass@usda.gov
Travis Averill, Chief, Livestock Branch ..................................... (202) 692-0069
Jean Porter, Head, Poultry and Specialty Commodities Section ................ (202) 690-3223
Holly Brenize - Poultry Slaughter......................................... (202) 720-0585
Alissa Cowell-Mytar - Cold Storage, Capacity of Refrigerated Warehouses .. (202) 720-4751
Liana Cuffman - Catfish and Trout, Mink, Census of Aquaculture ........... (202) 720-8784
Fatema Haque - Turkey Hatchery, Turkeys Raised ........................... (202) 720-3244
Derron Martin - Chicken Hatchery, Egg Products............................ (202) 690-3237
Seth Riggins - Honey, Honey Bee Colonies ................................. (202) 690-4870
Autumn Stone - Layers, Eggs .............................................. (202) 690-3676
Takiyah Walker - Broiler Hatchery......................................... (202) 720-6147
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S.W., Washington, D.C. 20250-9410, by fax (202) 690-7442 or email at
program.intake@usda.gov.Turkey Hatchery